Wednesday, March 28, 2007

Free Mandatory Path Trade of 15 pips

Free Mandatory Path Trade of 15 pips.


SPOT TRADE

Currency: GBPUSD
Trade Objective: Fibo Correction
Chart: 3 Hr
Trade volatility: High
Trade duration once triggered: min 1 mn, max 3 days.
Spread Consideration: Set the trade as it is below in its exact form
Updates: Please follow its updates by visiting www.forexsurvivor.com on NonySqueakWire headlines. In case we are stuck with that trade, where probability is 2%, please email support@forexsurvivor.com (members or readers) for immediate update.

GBPUSD Mandatory Path:

LONG 19750 OR SHORT 19777 -> Target 15 Pips Exact (19765 or 19762)

Enjoy Pound trade.

Anthony Samaha
Trading Engineer

www.forexsurvivor.com


Monday, March 26, 2007

Commodities Currencies and their Top Superfluous Stubbornness.

Commodities currencies week it was. AUD & NZD are stubbornly heading back to tops where the market rejected twice at least. NZD Fibo 0.7135 should be an aggressively sell level, but I am not convinced with this bearish approach yet, especially after visiting back the tops, as 10 year NZD and US rates continues to remain supportive for NZDUSD and is



read more | digg story

Saturday, March 24, 2007

Commodities Currencies and their Top Superfluous Stubbornness.

Why the market is lost in Commodities Behaviours?

Commodities currencies week it was. AUD & NZD are stubbornly heading back to tops where the market rejected twice at least. NZD Fibo 0.7135 should be an aggressively sell level, but I am not convinced with this bearish approach yet, especially after visiting back the tops, as 10 year NZD and US rates continues to remain supportive for NZDUSD and is preventing the meltdown that I am calling for. AUD consolidation this week at the high implies that a visit towards 8200 is in the offing.


Adrenalin effects on Equities have spurred their ups in a rapid manner. All in all, when DOW screened falsely on the screen and caused manoeuvrings damages to other equities, bold correction is to take place. Thus, equities will keep up trending for now, with slight high afterwards, before a vicious tumble again by mid April the most.


Pound is in exciting mood of ‘chopping,’ and still has few days of trimming between 19777 and 19450, before heading to 2.010. Although commodities currencies (AUD) are to price expensively in the days ahead, GBPAUD is seen to work against commodities will where 5 figures are noted to be formed in an upward channel.


Euro Long term analysis is in the formation of peaking. And peaking does not mean one figure or two. Be careful Long term Clients, lots of frustrations about Euro analysis will take the lead in the days ahead.

Although this week’s FOMC was superfluously dollar supportive, all levels above 13333 are misconstrued, & we will leave in fantasy world if euro pricing reaches 14300.


I still want the dollar to change hand at €13025/60.


Oldies Kryptonite


Tread Carefully: GBPCHF: 24100 should be temporary holding the ups where an avowed exit is intent. The market narrowed its wave to 23900 which should be corrected to 24100. This Week: after reaching low of 23400, the pair levelled up back to 23900, where GBP should still have to exchange hand at 24100 CHF.

Bi-monthly trade – Mission Completed: SHORT 15558 targeting 15503

EURCAD records my target at 15503 and as the currency spread is over 9 pips, position was not closed, and I have no intention to close it manually. As such, trade is still open. This Week: The market triggered the target un-manually as expected, thus achieving 55 pips, and the bi-monthly family trades are growing lucratively.


Anthony Samaha
Trading Engineer

*** The Potential Flows of Trading Information constitute my judgment and are not trading recommendations. ***



ForexSurvivor Provides:

Trial: Trial period for 15 days, 3 currencies.
Less Time PC Trading: No Full Time schedule for trading? Need less time on PC? Check forexsurvivor min 375 pips link.
Weekly Newsletter: Published ONLINE, between Friday & Sunday. Depicts currency performance, forexsurvivor closing trades, and hints on new signal target & free signal on a monthly basis (see below):

Jan, Mar, May, Jul, Sep, Nov between 15 and 20 – Bi-Monthly Free Trade of 55 pips.
Feb, Apr, Jun, Aug, Oct, Dec between 01 and 05 – Free Mandatory Path Trade of 15 pips


Since ForexSurvivor decided to launch free monthly signal in 2006
*** NO FREE SIGNAL HAS GENERATED A CLOSING LOSS***
Trade ForexSurvivor Signal in Real (not Demo)!



Please click here to find Weekly Closed Trades of 274 pips.

Saturday, March 17, 2007

Amazing Euro Configuration. Heading to the trap!

Why the market is lost in Equities Behaviours?


Simply put, a long Term Trend needs a sudden tumble.




Equities have not tumbled to the utmost yet. All in all, at least 50% Fibo should be reached or support MA200 to hold for few days/week before new low than 2006’s is seen. That is technical. However, fundamentally speaking, there is no better news than the technical. That view just presented is not mine, as you know I trade based on my OCTOPUS formula that comprises neither technical nor fundamental figures. Besides, my target in equities is lower than 2006 low and that mentioned on my December newsletter 2006.


Euro new high move in the last 3 days was pip by pip, and that has a good correlation with the trend in the weeks ahead.



My view for the European and the US market argues well with the technical and fundamental pictures that the media is presenting. US economic growth is about to be picked up again, and as soon as it climbs the ladder, we would note a reinforcement in the dollar. Such dollar (usdjpy) support has a 125 /127 /130 as a consequence, and the euro down-swings towards 116/110.



Amazingly though, & as I usually call my EURCHF trade a ‘turtle,’ that slow motion movement gave me hard time to catch. Who can not catch a turtle? Believe me, I tried, and found out that I needed help of 2 and even 3 ‘Survivors’ to support my turtle trade argument. When I longed it, I had to survive it to reverse, and when I reversed it, I had to survive it to go back to long, and such movement was traded 4 times to accumulate only a lucrative amount of pips equal 14. In the end, it was an enjoyable positive trade, though it was not worth the time and margin. Yet, I am preparing a ‘compensating’ one again in the near term.


Conclusion: Even 1 pip in the market so to be achieved, and / or with a slow currency movement like eurchf / eurgbp (or low volatility), needs a lot of studies and calculations before traded. That is why cautious and well implemented ‘Survivor’ entries are needed. Below are the eurchf trades:



Oldies Kryptonite


Tread Carefully: GBPCHF: 24900 should be screened within less than 7 days. That view has not changed but it would be delayed due to the sell off in equities and FTSE, where we should be waiting for Long Term Traders to reposition themselves (24100 should be temporary holding the ups where an avowed exit is an intent). This Week: The market narrowed its wave to 23900 which should be corrected to 24100.



Euro has not met yet 13025/60 which is a good target. It is on the way, but might chop towards the top first with a new weekly high. This Week: The market marked new high on a basis of one pip at a time, and it is depriving the screen of 13025/60 for the second week. There is no third week.


Bi-monthly free trade of 55 pips Short position triggered. Reminder of the trade:



LONG 15203 targeting 15258, or SHORT 15558 targeting 15503



And the market squeezes again my target between 1 and 10 pips. EURCAD records my target at 15503 and as the currency spread is over 9 pips, position was not closed, and I have no intention to close it manually. As such, trade is still open.



Anthony Samaha


Trading Engineer




*** The Potential Flows of Trading Information constitute my judgment and are not trading recommendations. ***




Easy Concept Links

www.forexsurvivor.com provides:


Trial: Trial period for 15 days, 3 currencies.


Less Time PC Trading: No Full Time schedule for trading? Need less time on PC? Check forexsurvivor min 375 pips link.


Weekly Newsletter: Published ONLINE, between Friday & Sunday. Depicts currency performance, forexsurvivor closing trades, and hints on new signal target & free signal on a monthly basis (see below):


Jan, Mar, May, Jul, Sep, Nov between 15 and 20 – Bi-Monthly Free Trade of 55 pips.
Feb, Apr, Jun, Aug, Oct, Dec between 01 and 05 – Free Mandatory Path Trade of 15 pips


Since ForexSurvivor decided to launch free monthly signal in 2006


*** NO FREE SIGNAL HAS GENERATED A CLOSING LOSS***



Trade ForexSurvivor Signal in Real (not Demo)!



For more detail about our Weekly Closed Trades of 971 pips. Please check our website www.forexsurvivor.com

Friday, March 09, 2007

Bi-Monthly Free Trade of 55 pips. Enjoy EURCAD Trade, & Trade it Live.

BI-MONTHLY FREE TRADE of 55 pips

Trade it Live

As illustrated in my last newsletter, once we are done with GBPUSD Mandatory Path Trade of 15 pips, I would signal the next Bi-Monthly free trade of 55 pips. And below is my new signal.


- Currency: EURCAD.
- Trade Objective: Counter-Trend follower if short, or Fibo correction if Long.
- Chart: 4 Hr.

- Trade Volatility: medium to high.
- Trade Duration: min 2 Hr, max 8 days.
- Worse Case Scenario: email
support@forexsurvivor.com in case we are stuck
with the trade, where probability is 3.5%.
- Pair Spread consideration: Enter the trade whenever bid or ask screens the
entry level, and set target exactly as per se below.
- Any update to be wired at NonySqueakNews by visiting
http://www.forexsurvivor.com/

LONG 15203 targeting 15258, or SHORT 15558 targeting 15503


Numerically speaking, you might wonder why 03 is common between 15203 & 15503.
Enjoy eurcad trade.





Oldies Kryptonite





ü Tread Carefully: GBPCHF: 24900 should be screened within less than 12 days. That view has not changed but it would be delayed due to the sell off in equities and FTSE, where we should be waiting for Long Term Traders to reposition themselves (24100 should be temporary holding the ups where an avowed exit is an intent).

ü Euro has not met yet 13025 which is a good target – shall I blame the sell-off in equities as a delay in meeting 13025/60? It is on the way, but might chop toppily first with a new weekly high.

ü GBPUSD Mandatory Trade of 15 pips went short at 19388 targeting 19373. Mission Completed.
Pound trade Enjoyed.





Anthony Samaha
Trading Engineer


*** The Potential Flows of Trading Information constitute my judgment and are not trading recommendations. ***

Friday, March 02, 2007

The world sold off its equities on Feb 27th 2007. What about YEN ‘comp remise?'

The world sold off its equities on Tuesday.
What about YEN ‘comp remise?’
Starting from Chinese equities, fears, that authorities would crack down on stock market speculation or authorities clamping down on illegal stock market activity, have contributed to the large sell off. That vague wiring catalyst was denied the same day.

My fundamental view point: it is hard to attribute the sell off to the above elements. But rather, US inflation is up-trending and it is augmenting concerns about growth; Iran Geopolitical risk has attributed well to the sell off, as despite the shake down of stocks, oil strength remains.

My technical view point: equities have been trending non stop for the past 8 months, and then? Wasn’t time for correction? It is so common in the market when a trend is enduring and lasting for months (believers of OB/OS during the whole period), a sudden counter trend is a ‘comp remise.’

Mixing Both View, the long term fundamentals remain very appealing, and technical retracement is providing new attractive entry points.
Now, the important question remains: would we have the same sell off ‘comp remise’ in USDJPY, EURJPY, and other Yen crosses? Bank of Japan has already announced that it only wishes to raise its interest rate slowly. Consequently, yen will continue its weakness towards 125/127 / even 130, and subsequently BOJ will intervene to support the yen. But When?

The loss in equities this week will need at least 10 days or less to let traders repositioning, and we won’t anticipate substantial dollar downswing but carefully manoeuvring in the near term the dollar is sensitive. Afterwards, when all settle back, dollar will appreciate very fast.
What happened with my last Free Trades?

ü Tread Carefully: GBPCHF: 24900 should be screened within less than 23 days. That view has not changed but it would be delayed due to the sell off in equities and FTSE, where we should be waiting for Long Term Traders to reposition themselves. Euro has not met yet 13025 which is a good target – shall I blame the sell-off in equities as a delay in meeting 13025/60?

ü GBPUSD Mandatory Trade of 15 pips still valid. Triple the position for the Long Trade, and keep the double on the short side.

Trade Reminder: LONG 19750 OR SHORT 19388è Target 15 Pips Exact (19765 or 19373)
Enjoy Pound trade.


Notification: Although this week is the time to launch a new Mandatory Path Trade of 15 pips, I will delay publishing its signal till we finalize with the above GBPUSD trade. Pound has been traded narrowly for the last 2 weeks, and about time to meet one of either signal.
Let me present first an evidence that was wired on NonySqueakNews

ü [22 Feb] Dax, Ftse, & SMI rallies exhausted for now è clarification: equities rallies were prepared for correction.

Thus, as ForexSurvivor Equity positioning trades, we were Equities-Bearish.

Our S&P.I position is almost on the break eve, but we continue having the position ON HOLD. ForexSurvivor S&P target is lower than 2006 low.
For more information on this weekly news, please visit our website.